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Are the savings as good as they look?

09/10/2026 Tom Cardale

Different solar proposals can produce very different estimates of savings. Understanding how those numbers have been calculated is essential...

How much solar will your school actually need?

The key question is around self-consumption — how much of the electricity generated by your panels will be used by the school rather than exported to the grid. 

It’s important to ask: 

  • Has the calculation used your school's actual consumption data, based on at least a year’s worth of the school’s energy bills?  

  • Has it accounted for weekends and school holidays?  

  • Has it used data from comparable schools?  

  • How accurate have the provider's previous forecasts been?  

A shopping centre may consume electricity seven days a week. A school does not. A factory may operate throughout the year, while a school has significant periods when demand is much lower.

What happens if the forecast is wrong?

This matters particularly with a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA). 

If self-consumption is lower than predicted, the school may still benefit from lower bills, but the PPA provider may not generate the expected income to repay the cost of the system. 

If the school buys the system outright, an overly optimistic forecast could mean spending more capital than necessary. 

Wendy looking at schools energy data
Wendy looking at schools energy data

And finally, don't forget about exports...

Ask how the proposal treats electricity exported to the grid and whether it includes REGOs or similar credits. 

Export contracts are currently reasonably attractive, but as more solar connects to the grid, daytime electricity exports could become less valuable. 

Don't just compare the headline saving. Ask to see the assumptions behind it. 

Tom & Chris from Solar for Schools
Solar for Schools' Tom Darby & Chris Matheson on the roof of St Mary's Middle School, Puddletown.

Next blog in the series: 'What solar system does your school need?